Estimating geodynamic hazard in mining regions

The concept of the critical stress state of the Earth’s crust is used to address the issue of the geodynamic hazard estimation in a mining region. In terms of Kuzbass and using the data on depths of hypocenters of induced seismic events, the thickness of the critical stress layer at the crustal top, which is one of the most significant factors to govern the geodynamic hazard, is evaluated. The depths of hypocenters of induced seismic events are determined at sufficient reliability, and these data allow tracing their change and comparing the resultant estimates with the block structure of Kuzbass, found in the 1980s by the method of geodynamic zoning. The crustal faults of rank II separate different thickness blocks in the crustal layer supposed to be in the critical stress state and having the thickness ranging from 2.1 km to 4–5 km according to the present studies. The data on the depths of hypocenters of induced earthquakes enable zoning of the Kuzbass area by the geodynamic hazard criterion which increases north–southward. The further research is to explore response of rock mass to the large-scale induced impact, including reactivation of intra-block tectonic faults and contribution of this process to subsurface degassing.

Keywords: induced seismicity, rock burst, hypocenter depth, critical stress state, geodynamic hazard level, geodynamic zone, mine gas migration, Kuzbass.
For citation:

Shermatova S. S., Byabasuren Z., Shevchuk S. V., Romero M., Doskalov A. I. Estimating geodynamic hazard in mining regions. MIAB. Mining Inf. Anal. Bull. 2022;(12):175184. [In Russ]. DOI: 10.25018/0236_1493_2022_12_0_175.


The study was supported by the Russian Science Foundation, Project No. 22-27-00728.

Issue number: 12
Year: 2022
Page number: 175-184
ISBN: 0236-1493
UDK: 622.831.32; 550.34; 504.12
DOI: 10.25018/0236_1493_2022_12_0_175
Article receipt date: 05.07.2022
Date of review receipt: 03.10.2022
Date of the editorial board′s decision on the article′s publishing: 10.11.2022
About authors:

S.S. Shermatova1, Graduate Student, e-mail:,
Z. Byambasuren1, Graduate Student, e-mail:,
S.V. Shevchuk1, Scientific Project Expert, e-mail:,
M. Romero2, Cand. Sci. (Eng.), Assistant Professor, e-mail:,
A.I. Doskalov2, Graduate Student, e-mail:,
1 Mining Institute, National University of Science and Technology «MISiS», 119049, Moscow, Russia,
2 Peoples’ Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University), Engineering Academy, 117198, Moscow, Russia.


For contacts:

S.S. Shermatova, e-mail:


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