Assessment of hydrogeological risk during the construction and operation of underground subway facilities

The article is devoted to a comprehensive analysis of the hydrogeological risks accompanying the construction and operation of subway tunnels. The authors emphasize that groundwater is a key factor determining the safety, cost, and durability of underground structures. The main hazards associated with the dynamic nature of hydrogeological conditions are described: structural deformations, accelerated aging of the lining, breakthroughs of water and quicksand, as well as subsequent precipitation of the Earth’s surface, threatening terrestrial buildings. The classification of hydrogeological risks is presented, dividing them into natural (for example, lack of nutrition of aquifers, deterioration of water quality) and man-made (pollution, consequences of intensive exploitation of water intakes). A quantitative assessment method based on normalized coefficients is proposed as the main risk management tool. The methods of calculating risks in the case of excavation and underground construction methods are given, as well as quantitative values of risks for various negative processes are presented. It is concluded that there is a need for a systematic approach to managing hydrogeological risks, which should integrate in-depth environmental studies, modern engineering solutions, constant monitoring and strict compliance with technological standards at all stages of the facility’s life cycle. The article is a methodically based study that focuses on the fact that effective management of hydrogeological risks is an essential condition for trouble-free construction and sustainable operation of metro facilities.

Keywords: hydrogeological risk, groundwater level, subway tunnels, risk management, emergency.
For citation:

Kulikova E. Yu., Rozental O. M. Assessment of hydrogeological risk during the construction and operation of underground subway facilities. MIAB. Mining Inf. Anal. Bull. 2026;(1):5-15. DOI: 10.25018/0236_1493_2026_1_0_5.

Acknowledgements:
Issue number: 1
Year: 2026
Page number: 5-15
ISBN: 0236-1493
UDK: 69.035.4:502.5
DOI: 10.25018/0236_1493_2026_1_0_5
Article receipt date: 22.09.2025
Date of review receipt: 24.10.2025
Date of the editorial board′s decision on the article′s publishing: 10.12.2025
About authors:

E.Yu. Kulikova, Dr. Sci. (Eng.), Professor, NUST MISIS, 119049, Moscow, Russia; RTU MIREA, Moscow, Russia, e-mail: fragrante@mail.ru, ORCID ID: 0000-0002-9290-671X,
O.M. Rozental, Dr. Sci. (Eng.), Professor, Chief Researcher, Institute of Water Problems of the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia, e-mail: omro3@yandex.ru, ORCID ID: 0000-0001-6261-60-60.

 

For contacts:

E.Yu. Kulikova, e-mail: fragrante@mail.ru.

Bibliography:

1. Kapanski A. A., Klyuev R. V., Boltrushevich A. E., Sorokova S. N., Efremenkov E. A., Demin A. Y., Martyushev N. V. Geospatial clustering in smart city resource management: An initial step in the optimisation of complex technical supply systems. Smart Cities. 2025, vol. 8, no. 1, article 14. DOI: 10.3390/smartcities8010014.

2. Klyuev A. V., Kashapov N. F., Klyuev S. V., Zolotareva S. V., Shchekina N. A., Shorstova E. S., Lesovik R. V., Ayubov N. A. Experimental studies of the processes of structure formation of composite mixtures with technogenic mechanoactivated silica component. Construction Materials and Products. 2023, vol. 6, no. 2, pp. 5—18. DOI: 10.58224/2618-7183-2023-6-2-5-18.

3. Panarin I. I., Fediuk R. S., Vykhodtsev I. А., Vavrenyuk S. V., Klyuev A. V. Injection mortars based on composite cements for soil fixation. Construction Materials and Products. 2023, vol. 6, no. 4, pp. 15—29. DOI: 10.58224/2618-7183-2023-6-4-15-29.

4. Haryono I. S., Booth P. W., Purwodihardjo A., Vorster B. Discrete fracture network combined with discontinuum based design for deep shafts — quantifiable risk assessment and design method. Expanding Underground — Knowledge and Passion to Make a Positive Impact on the World. Proceedings of the ITA-AITES World Tunnel Congress. WTC 2023. 2023, pp. 1923—1931. DOI: 10.1201/9781003348030-231.

5. Gobla M. Risk analysis for evaluation of mine impounded water. Mining Engineering. 2016, vol. 68, no. 12, pp. 33-40.

6. Vercheba A. A., Makarov V. A. Applied geology — basic training program for mining and geological industry personnel. Mining Science and Technology (Russia). 2023, vol. 8, no. 2, pp. 183—190. [In Russ]. DOI: 10.17073/2500-0632-2023-01-71.

7. Deplagni E. A., Kivliuk V. P., Konyukhov D. S. Fixing of unstable water-saturated soils by artificial freezing for construction of inter-tunnel joints during metro construction. Tunnelling for a Better Life Proceedings of the Ita Aites World Tunnel Congress Wtc 2024. 2024, pp. 689—694. DOI: 10.1201/9781003495505-93.

8. Kumar R., Mandal P. K., Das A. J., Bhattacharjee R., Tewari S. Design of underground structures under geotechnical uncertainties. Frontiers of Performability Engineering. Risk, Reliability and Safety Engineering. Springer, Singapore. 2024. DOI: 10.1007/978-981-99-8258-5_15.

9. Mishra R. K., Uotinen L., Rinne M. A bayesian network approach for geotechnical risk assessment in underground mines. Journal of the Southern African Institute of Mining and Metallurgy. 2021, vol. 121, no. 6. DOI: 10.17159/2411-9717/581/2021.

10. Chee-Min Khoo, Teik-Aun Ooi Geotechnical challenges and innovations in urban underground construction — The Klang Valley Mass Rapid Transit project. Geomechanik und Tunnelbau. 2023, vol. 16, no. 3, pp. 243—262. DOI: 10.1002/geot.202300007.

11. Kalaiselvi M., Sarma Y. K., Raju G. D. Advanced geotechnical investigation and data interpretation for complex underground structures. Deep Foundations for Infrastructure Development in India. 2023, pp. 3—15. DOI: 10.1007/978-981-19-8598-0_1.

12. Chunyuk D., Selviyan S. Monitoring of geotechnical and underground construction facilities as part of risk management. E3S Web of Conferences. 2023, vol. 410, article 02014. DOI: 10.1051/e3sconf/202341002014.

13. Wan Y. Luo Ya. Analysis of geotechnical engineering safety technology in urban underground space construction. Journal of Architectural Research and Development. 2022, vol. 6, no. 1, pp. 1—6. DOI: 10.26689/jard.v6i1.2887.

14. Zhukov S. A. Substantiation of environmental safety in metro facility operations considering hydrogeological risks. Mining Science and Technology (Russia). 2024, vol. 9, no. 3, pp. 283—291. [In Russ]. DOI: 10.17073/2500-0632-2024-04-259.

15. Liang Y., Xu N., Chang H., Qian Sh., Liu Ya. Automatic construction of risk transmission network about subway construction based on deep learning models. Scientific Reports. 2025, vol. 15, article 16383. DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-99561-0.

16. Ren Z., Liu Y., Zhao D., He Yu., Zhang J. A deep learning-driven framework for real-time recognition and quantification of subway tunnel surface defects using high-resolution imaging. Urban Rail Transit. 2025, vol. 11, pp. 279—299. DOI: 10.1007/s40864-025-00246-8.

17. Sun X., Wu L., Wu D. Risk evaluation of metro tunnel shield construction based on game variable weight extension cloud theory. Scientific Reports. 2025, vol. 15, article 18961. DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-03345-5.

18. Funikova V. V., Dudler I. V., Butaev R. T. Anthropogenic changes in the groundwater regime of built-up areas: Geoecological, engineering geological, and hydrogeological aspects. Water Resources. 2022, vol. 49, pp. S59—S68. DOI: 10.1134/S0097807822080036.

19. Shi Y., Liu X., Jia J., Song Z., Song L., Ge L., Zhang Q., Xue Ch. Research on the starting control technology of ultra-deep shield near existing line in soft soil urban area with microconfined water. Geotechnical Engineering and Intelligent Disaster Prediction. GHS 2024. Sustainable Civil Infrastructures. Springer, Cham. 2025. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-85787-4_18.

20. Sartirana D., Rotiroti M., Bonomi T., Mattia De Amicis, Nava V., Fumagalli L., Zanotti Ch. Data-driven decision management of urban underground infrastructure through groundwater-level time-series cluster analysis: the case of Milan (Italy). Hydrogeology Journal. 2022, vol. 30, pp. 1157—1177. DOI: 10.1007/s10040-022-02494-5.

21. Feng Z., Cheng B., Shao Y., Zhang B., Li X., Wang X., Liu P. Predicting and mitigating twin-tunnel settlement in coastal soft soils: An integrated monitoring and modeling approach. Geotechnical and Geological Engineering. 2025, vol. 43, article 435. DOI: 10.1007/s10706-025-03336-3.

22. Jing M., Lu C., Sun C., Pujades E., Ye Yu, Xu T., Sun X. Assessing the effect of construction-induced consolidation on groundwater travel time distribution under unconfined conditions. Hydro-

geology Journal. 2023, vol. 31, article 275—292. DOI: 10.1007/s10040-022-02579-1.

23. Wang D., Ye S., Zhang J. Risk reduction measures and monitoring analysis of deep foundation pit with water in a metro station in hefei. Water. 2023, vol. 15, no. 16, article 3007. DOI: 10.3390/w15163007.

24. Kulikova E. Yu., Balovtsev S. V., Skopintseva O. V. Geotechnical risk management in mine and underground construction. Sustainable Development of Mountain Territories. 2025, vol. 17, no. 1, pp. 556—563. .DOI: 10.21177/1998-4502-2025-17-1-556-563.

25. Kulikova E. Yu. Estimation of factors of aggressive influence and corrosion wear of underground structures. Materials Science Forum. 2018, vol. 931, pp. 385—390. DOI: 10.4028/www.scientific.net/MSF.931.385.  

Подписка на рассылку

Подпишитесь на рассылку, чтобы получать важную информацию для авторов и рецензентов.