Comparative study of spatial autocorrelation methods in the statistical analysis of deposit mineralization patterns

A comparison of spatial autocorrelation methods used to form perspective classes within the heterogeneous spatial distribution of mineralization of the deposit is carried out. Classifiers, which are key in mapping the prospects of minerals based on data, allow us to develop models for predicting the mineral potential of poorly studied sites within known mining areas. The paper presents a comparative study of methods of statistical processing of spatial data using the Moran's index, Getis-Ord index, and the author’s approach based on a modified Moran's index. The methods have been tested on the basis of geochemical data from the Agbau gold mining complex in Côte d'Ivoire, provided by the Endeavour Mining Corporation campaign. An assessment of the reliability of the results obtained with reference data has been carried out, taking into account the current operating conditions of the field. The results were obtained in terms of performance indicators: the author's approach: accuracy = 98%, F1-score = 98% (at 250 pbb) and the stability of the F1-score (from 93 to 96%) when changing the onboard content; the approach based on the classical Moran index: accuracy = 77%, F1-score = 85% (at 250 pbb) and a decrease in F1-score (from 93 to 66%); approach based on the Goethis-Ord index: accuracy = 75%, F1-score = 84% (at 250 pbb) and a decrease in F1-score (from 90 to 55%). The author's approach It demonstrated resistance to fluctuations in onboard content, unlike classical methods.

Keywords: mineral prospectivity mapping, spatial autocorrelation methods, the level of mineralization prospects, Cut-Off Grade, Modified Moran’s Index Approach, Moran's method, Ge-tis-Ord method, Agbau gold mining complex.
For citation:

Nkrumah A. H. M., Silina T. S., Fayzrakhmanov R. A. Comparative study of spatial autocorrelation methods in the statistical analysis of deposit mineralization patterns. MIAB.MiningInf.Anal.Bull.2025;(12-1):170-185. [InRuss]. DOI: 10.25018/0236_1493_2025_ 121_0_170.

Acknowledgements:
Issue number: 12-1
Year: 2025
Page number: 170-185
ISBN: 0236-1493
UDK: 550.8.05+004.94
DOI: 10.25018/0236_1493_2025_121_0_170
Article receipt date: 24.07.2025
Date of review receipt: 01.08.2025
Date of the editorial board′s decision on the article′s publishing: 10.11.2025
About authors:

Assoumou Herve Mathieu Nkrumah1, Graduate Student, e-mail: nkvetcho@gmail.com,
T.S. Silina, Cand. Sci. (Geol. Mineral.), Assistant Professor, Ural State Mining University, 620144, Ekaterinburg, Russia, e-mail: tamarasil @mail.ru,
R.A. Faizrakhmanov1, Dr. Sci. (Econ.), Professor, Head of Chair, e-mail: Fayzrakhmanov@gmail.com,
1 Perm National Research Polytechnic University, 614990, Perm, Russia.

For contacts:

A.H.M. Nkrumah, e-mail: nkvetcho@gmail.com.

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